小新人口白皮书出了: 小新可以容纳690百万人口吗? 人民还会继续投反对党吗?

AhSengSg

小新人口白皮书出了: 小新可以容纳690百万人口吗? 人民还会继续投反对党吗?

SINGAPORE: Singapore's population could hit 6.9 million by 2030 - up from the current 5.3 million - if strategies outlined in the White Paper on Population to mitigate the country's ageing and shrinking population are met.

The population projection also takes into account a lower GDP growth rate beyond 2020.

Singapore is facing serious challenges of ageing and dwindling population, in particular from 2025 when its citizen population starts to shrink.

The White Paper on Population, released on Tuesday, is the first comprehensive report to outline the country's strategy to ensure a sustainable population.

The proposal is to take in 30,000 new permanent residents (PR) every year which will keep the PR population stable at about half a million. Then, from this pool, take in 15,000 to 25,000 new citizens each year, to stop the citizen population from shrinking.

At this rate, by 2030, Singapore's total population numbers should hit between 6.5 and 6.9 million.

The figures are based on certain assumptions - that the stretched productivity target of between 2 and 3 per cent for this decade is further moderated to between 1 and 2 per cent, between 2020 and 2030. And, a workforce growth rate that dips from the 3.3 per cent growth over the last three decades, to just 1 per cent between 2020 and 2030.

With those numbers, the country's GDP growth beyond 2020 will likely fall to between 2 and 3 per cent a year - from the current 3 to 5 per cent projection for this decade.

To ensure a high quality of life for Singaporeans, the government will build ahead. Long term planning beyond 2020 include setting aside land to build 700,000 more homes and doubling the rail network.

- CNA/ck

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/singaporelocalnews/view/1250894/1/.html

mikata

2030年。。会不会太慢了点？

kcchiew

我还在消化那些资讯。

这里有简约中文版的提供下载：http://202.157.171.46/whitepaper/downloads/flyer-chinese.pdf

mikata

kcchiew 发表于 29-1-2013 01:40 PM
我还在消化那些资讯。

这里有简约中文版的提供下载：http://202.157.171.46/whitepaper/downloads/flyer ...

可持续的人口，
朝气蓬勃的新加坡

要怎么个朝气蓬勃法？

u0508950

mikata 发表于 29-1-2013 01:43 PM
要怎么个朝气蓬勃法？

各国人民齐聚新加坡。。。。。。。。。。

mikata

u0508950 发表于 29-1-2013 01:46 PM
各国人民齐聚新加坡。。。。。。。。。。

个人看到婆娘击败大医生胜利欢呼的朝气蓬勃就有。

u0508950

mikata 发表于 29-1-2013 01:50 PM
个人看到婆娘击败大医生胜利欢呼的朝气蓬勃就有。

我的舅母好像很高兴（我舅舅是入籍的大马人），茶餐室的老板和UNCLE AUNTY好像都很高兴。。。。。。。就在PAP输掉的第二天。。。

fengmo

新加坡人口老化，不得不接纳移民填補，不然将出现人口断層、牵一髪而动全身。

kcchiew

mikata 发表于 29-1-2013 01:43 PM
要怎么个朝气蓬勃法？

去大马郊外的小镇看看，比较城市的气氛，就知道什么是暮气沉沉了。

新加坡也许没有那么严重，但从这图表，请想象30多年后的新加坡。。。。。

u0508950

kcchiew 发表于 29-1-2013 02:14 PM
去大马郊外的小镇看看，比较城市的气氛，就知道什么是暮气沉沉了。

新加坡也许没有那么严重，但从这图 ...

大马郊外小镇是我认为就适合养老的地方啊。。。不要这样说好不好， 以后我老了，就要回去郊外小镇了，我跟我家乡的朋友还有联络。。。

kcchiew

u0508950 发表于 29-1-2013 02:23 PM
大马郊外小镇是我认为就适合养老的地方啊。。。不要这样说好不好， 以后我老了，就要回去郊外小镇了，我跟 ...

我比较喜欢生活机能比较齐全的地方；近距离可以到达/使用各类设施。

你不是要开店吗？那也得在人潮多的地方开。

（补充：个人是可以选择小镇那类比较缓慢的生活方式，对于小国家而言，可以吗？）

u0508950

kcchiew 发表于 29-1-2013 02:28 PM
我比较喜欢生活机能比较齐全的地方；近距离可以到达/使用各类设施。

你不是要开店吗？那也得在人潮多的 ...

我不是要等到我老老才回去开店啦。。。。。我是近几年就回去开，等我老老了，我会买一辆车，然后回家乡买一片地，经营农场。。。。

bobololo_pop

赶快生孩子吧

我是笨女人

能不能回到过去大概四百万人口左右的那个时候啊？
太挤了太挤了

greenpower

有用吗？新加坡的死亡率一直比生育率低。。。人们越来越长命，长此下去，人口即使没有移民入口，还是一样会涨。

你要反对党建议。。。。

１。杀掉老人？
２。鼓励堕胎？

来维持人口数目吗？

反对党的许多支持者。。。该多读点书。
执政党，应该多与人民沟通，首先别以为所有人民都跟他们一样懂经济学，上过大学，个个有两个大学文凭。

花沙尼

去大马郊外的小镇看看，比较城市的气氛，就知道什么是暮气沉沉了。

代表既然选择了“朝气蓬勃”“欣欣向荣”的新加坡，好心就不要拿前祖国的“暮气沉沉”小镇来消遣。

Sunyata

2030之后住哪？

神皇

u0508950 发表于 29-1-2013 01:46 PM
各国人民齐聚新加坡。。。。。。。。。。

是咯，最近都可以看到很多菲律宾人带着全家大小外出，他们来这里工作，顺便把家人也带来，以便响应融PAP政府的号召融入新加坡的生活咯...

神皇

greenpower 发表于 29-1-2013 09:36 PM
有用吗？新加坡的死亡率一直比生育率低。。。人们越来越长命，长此下去，人口即使没有移民入口，还是一样会 ...

日本的现任副首相就曾经有过叫老人快点去死的想法：
http://sg.news.yahoo.com/japan-let-old-hurry-die-minister-113515884.html

Japan's finance minister Taro Aso said Monday the elderly should be allowed to "hurry up and die" instead of costing the government money for end-of-life medical care.
Aso, who also doubles as deputy prime minister, reportedly said during a meeting of the National Council on Social Security Reforms: "Heaven forbid if you are forced to live on when you want to die. You cannot sleep well when you think it's all paid by the government.
"This won't be solved unless you let them hurry up and die," he said.
"I don't need that kind of care. I will die quickly," he said adding he had left written instructions that his life is not artificially prolonged.
During the meeting, he reportedly referred to "tube people" when talking of patients who cannot feed themselves.
The 72-year-old Aso, a former prime minister, has been in his current job less than a month, but has a long history of planting his foot firmly in his mouth.
In 2001 he triggered a furore by saying a successful country was one where "rich Jews" wanted to live.
After Monday's mis-step, he tried to backtrack, insisting he had only been talking about his personal wishes when he said the elderly should shuffle off quickly.
"I said what I personally believe, not what the end-of-life medical care system should be," he told reporters.
"It is important that you can spend the final days of your life peacefully."
Aso was born into a blue-blooded industrialist family but his often crude verbal slip-ups stand in marked contrast to his heritage.
He is the grandson of Shigeru Yoshida, one of Japan's most influential prime ministers who helped rebuild the country from the ashes of World War II, and he is married to the daughter of another former premier.
Ageing is a sensitive issue in Japan, one of the world's oldest countries, with almost a quarter of its 128 million people over 60. That figure is expected to rise to 40 percent within the next half-century.
At the same time a shrinking number of workers is placing further strain on an already groaning social security system, with not enough money going into the pot to support those who depend on it.

from: Yahoo! News

greenpower

Sunyata 发表于 29-1-2013 09:55 PM
2030之后住哪？

新加坡将变成以往的小鱼村，TEMASEK。
人口老化所带来的国家经济负担，是非常沉重的。
若未来没有大批外劳为经济提供动力，制造商会毫不犹豫离开新加坡，国人在制造业的就业机会减少，国民收入缩小，开销自然受到压制，引起RIPPLE EFFECT，导致国家各行业都面对下跌压力，薪金无法提高。
一旦国内生产总值大幅度下跌，国家外汇兑换也会滑落。
对于几乎全部都必须依赖入口的新加坡，货币下跌最终将导致国内通货膨胀大幅度上升。
就业下跌，薪金不升，物价飞涨。。。STAGFLATION将一年比一年严重。
加上人口老化，国家面对医疗开销大幅度暴涨，可是由于国家经济不景，政府税收大幅下跌，国家面对财政赤字将日趋严重。
为了应付开销，GST到了2030年没有50％，也有40％。。。迫使大批年青人纷纷移民外国，国家进入全面性退化。